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Illinois Debt Baby

 
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Dec 30
2011

Game Over, Good Fight, Romney Will Be Nominee

Posted by: Ted Durham

Tagged in: Untagged 

Ted Durham

This was a very interesting Republican Primary. Mitt Romney was the early frontrunner, but there were some interesting challenges from several different flavor-of-the-month competitors. I believe the Republican Primary is now over and Romney will be the nominee.

The online trading market, Intrade, which has proven to be more accurate than polls now has Romney with a 75% chance of being the GOP nominee.

Intrade has Ron Paul at 7%, Newt Gingrich at 5.8% Santorum at 3.8%, and the rest at less than 1%. It also gives a 15% chance Hermain Cain will endorse Newt Gingrich.

I still think Ron Paul might win Iowa, but Romney immediate takes all the momentum by taking a 2-1 vote advantage over his next competitor in the Granite State.

Conservatives have had a tough time trusting Romney because of his "apparent" liberal compromises. Some of the better analysts have astutely pointed out Romney was a Republican governor in once of the most liberal east coast states in the nation. Romney was widely criticized for nominating more Democrats for Judges than Republicans. This sounds like a good political hammer to pound Romney and all his opponents tried. But, when Romney explained every person on his states judicial nominating committee were Democrats, it is easy to see why he did it.
Many loudmouth conservatives protest because Romney fails their rigid litmus test, but he passes my good compromise test. I still might vote for Newt in the primary, but will eagerly support Romney in the general.


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Comments (3)Add Comment
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written by Brock Merck, January 02, 2012
Even softmouthed conservatives protest someone who compromises with enemy.
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written by DM in Naperville, January 07, 2012
Let me give you one piece of information. The Ron Paul supporters are voting FOR a candidate, not AGAINST Obama. If Ron Paul is not the nominee, you can expect each supporter to do one of the following things:

1) Write-in Ron Paul
2) Vote for Gary Johnson (libertarian)
3) Not vote for president

and if Sean Hannity and the rest at Faux News continue to disrespect Dr Paul...

4) Say "Fuck off GOP" and vote for Obama (I am actually leaning this way right now)

Keep in mind, I am an Independent that is currently registered as Republican (I am really a Libertarian / Constitutionalist). I voted for McCain over Obama last time.

Any one of those scenarios gives Obama a second term, and that is fine with us. So if you are very anti-Obama I would recommend you nominate Dr Paul for a landslide victory over Obama.
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written by Fred, January 08, 2012
Ron Paul third party run would be a great payback to the GOP. The GOP needs to understand that they will never beat Obama with any talk of war and without the youth vote.

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